Play: N.Y. Yankees +130 (Greene vs. action)
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: I really like Yankees starter Shane Greene. He has made six major-league starts and has allowed three or fewer runs in five of those outings. The 25-year-old Florida native has a 2.89 ERA and opponents are hitting .227 against him. In his last turn he tossed eight scoreless innings against Detroit. Plus, the Rays have never seen him. On the other hand, Drew Smyly has a 3.73 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He has a 1.44 WHIP in his last three starts. How will he respond after throwing 116 pitches in 7.2 IP (both career highs) against Texas in his last turn? New York hits 17 points higher and scores 0.76 more runs per game against LH. Tampa Bay hits 12 points lower and scores 0.40 fewer rpg vs. RH.
Record: 173-123-7 (58.4%)
Bankroll: +134.86%
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