MLB: Sunday's play

Play: N.Y. Yankees/Tampa Bay over 7 -109 (Kuroda vs. Hellickson)

Time: 1:40 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Games involving these teams average between 7.76 and 8.67 runs both in the overall categories and in the home/away splits. Games at Tropicana Field have averaged 7.90 runs. Both squads have shaky bullpens (NYY: 3.91 ERA, TB: 3.48 ERA). New York's relievers have a 6.21 ERA in their last 10 games and an 8.36 ERA in their last five. Tampa Bay has averaged 4.82 runs in their last 10 contests vs. RH. My picks to click offensively include Derek Jeter (3-for-8 in the series), Mark Teixeira (4-for-8 in the series, 6-for-16 lifetime vs. Jeremy Hellickson), Evan Longoria (six-game hitting streak, 9-for-21 lifetime vs. Hiroki Kuroda), Matt Joyce (7-for-20 lifetime against Kuroda) and Ben Zobrist (RBI in five of his last six games). To top it off, games for umpire Mark Ripperger have averaged 7.80, 9.33, 9.33, 8.75 and 8.00 runs over the last five seasons.


Record: 174-123-7 (58.6%)
Bankroll: +144.03%