MLB: Monday's play

Play: Texas +1.5 -125 (Mikolas vs. Elias)

Time: 10:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Rangers would be 69-60 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. The Mariners would be 57-72 if they gave 1.5 rpg. When handicapping this one I felt as though I was handicapping a horse race while looking at the past performances in the Daily Racing Form. Yes, Miles Mikolas has horrible numbers on the season. But he's been good and even great in three of his last four starts and in four of his last six starts. Add to that the fact that Seattle has never seen him. Conversely, Roenis Elias has a 2.35 ERA in his last three appearances, but he also has a 1.37 WHIP over that same time period. Additionally, Elias has had his share of clunkers in 2014 and is probably overdue for another one. And Texas absolutely destroys LH. It scores 4.94 rpg vs. southpaws, which is 1.31 more rpg than it scores vs. RH. Runs also are still hard to come by at Safeco Field and the Mariners score just 3.64 rpg there. 


Record: 179-125-7 (58.9%)
Bankroll: +165.08%