Wednesday, August 13, 2014

MLB: Wednesday's 7 p.m. ET plays


Play: Atlanta -112 (action vs. Santana)

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Hyun-Jin Ryu last faced the Braves in the last October's NLDS. He gave up four runs on six hits in three innings in that one. Ervin Santana has a four-game winning streak and a 2.65 ERA over than span. He has a 3.27 ERA in eight lifetime starts against the Dodgers. Atlanta has the better bullpen overall and its relievers have a 2.65 ERA at Turner Field. Los Angeles' bullpen has a 4.26 ERA on the road. Dodgers 3B Juan Uribe is 0-for-13 with five punchouts in his career against Santana. Los Angeles' relievers have a 4.09 ERA in their last five games. Impressive stat: Braves starters have combined for 82 quality starts, the most in the majors. The Dodgers are averaging a paltry 2.83 runs in their last 10 games vs. RH.





Play: Washington/N.Y. Mets under 7 -119 and N.Y. Mets +1.5 -155 (Zimmermann vs. Colon)

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: I think runs will be hard to come by in this one, thus making both plays attractive. The Mets would be 80-40 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. The Nationals would be 51-66 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Washington should be without Jayson Werth (shoulder). Jordan Zimmermann has a 3.35 ERA in 18 career starts against New York. Bartolo Colon has a 2.32 ERA in four lifetime starts against the Nationals, and he has walked two or fewer batters in 49 of his last 53 starts. Additionally, the three games called by umpire Stu Scheurwater this season have averaged 4.33 runs.



Record: 167-123-7 (57.6%)
Bankroll: +103.74% 

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