Play: Atlanta -7.5 -105
Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Detroit is 7-0 SU and ATS in its last seven tilts, but I expect it will get a dose of reality at Philips Arena. The Hawks are 16-3 SU and 12-7 ATS at home this season. They are 2-0 SU and ATS against the Pistons this season, and my power ratings say Atlanta should be favored by 10.5 points in this one. The Hawks have won 12 straight and are 26-2 in their last 28. The Hawks are shooting 47.1% overall and 38.3% on threes (46.9% over the last 10 contests). Kyle Korver's 52.7% mark from behind the arc leads the NBA. Korver has canned an astonishing 59.1% of his threes over the last 10 games. Al Horford is averaging 21.7 points and is shooting 84.4% over his last three games. Detroit has lost 11 of its last 12 at Atlanta and the Pistons are below average defensively. They also are a horrific 69.9% from the line. The Hawks also have advantages in the steals and blocked shots categories. Atlanta is allowing just 95.0 ppg at home in 2014-15.
Record: 251-191-8 (56.8%)
Bankroll: +149.72%
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