Play: North Carolina -7.5 -110
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Reasoning: My power ratings say the Tar Heels should be favored by 11. In its last game North Carolina beat Virginia Tech by 15 points, but it would have been by a larger margin if the Tar Heels hadn't committed 17 turnovers. They outrebounded the Hokies 49-22 (16-4 on the offensive glass) and held VA Tech to 35.8% shooting. North Carolina is second in the nation in rebounding and is holding teams to 36.6% shooting. It is shooting 48.3% away from home. Wake Forest is last in the ACC in scoring defense (69.1 ppg) and defensive field-goal percentage (43.7%). Leading scorer Codi Miller-McIntyre was 0-for-7 from the field and went scoreless in the last meeting with the Tar Heels. North Carolina (14-4) has played the fourth-toughest schedule in the country. The Demon Deacons (9-9) have played a schedule that ranks 71st. And they are 0-6 vs. Top 50 teams.
Record: 253-192-8 (56.9%)
Bankroll: +156.00%
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