Sunday, January 4, 2015

NBA: Sunday's play

Play: Sacramento +4.5 -110

Time: 6 p.m. ET

Reasoning: My power rankings say the Kings should be favored by 1. Detroit beat them on Dec. 13 in Sacramento, but the Kings were without DeMarcus Cousins because of viral meningitis. Also, Darren Collision and Rudy Gay combined to shoot just 7-of-32. That won't happen again. Sacramento has played the tougher schedule and has a better record overall and in the home/away splits. The Kings are above average shooting from the floor and on free throws (they score six more points than the league average from the line). The Pistons are well below average from the floor and the line (67.4% on free throws). They have a huge rebounding disadvantage as well, and they are 2-8 ATS as a favorite this season.


Record: 238-183-8 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +123.82%

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