Time: 9 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jazz games have gone under in 10 of the last 11, but none of those contests were against the Warriors. Golden State has averaged nearly 120 ppg over its last five. Think about that. Assuming the Warriors keep up that pace, Utah would need only 83 points for the over to hit. The Jazz average 97.2 ppg at home and only five of Golden State's 34 games have featured a total lower than this. Overall Warriors games average 207.4 ppg. On Tuesday Golden State will have Andrew Bogut on the floor in his third game back from a knee injury. Bogut leads the team in rebounding. I expect a lot of those boards to come on offense, which should lead to easier buckets. Utah is well above average in offensive rebounding, it shoots well and it's below average in defensive field-goal percentage. The Jazz also are below average in perimeter defense, and in the last five games Golden State has averaged 12.2 made three-pointers per. This season Utah games has gone over in six of 13 tilts with totals of 200-plus.
Record: 243-188-8 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +119.90%
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