NFL: Sunday's 6:40 p.m. ET play

Play: New England -6.5 -110


Time: 6:40 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Andrew Luck hasn't had much luck against the Patriots. He is 0-3 against them and Indianapolis has been outscored 144-66 in those games. Luck has completed just 53.8% of his throws, has only a 67.7 passer rating and has tossed eight INTs vs. six TDs in those three tilts. New England, which is 16-4 at home in the postseason, beat the Colts 42-20 at Indy on Nov. 16. Last week against Baltimore the Pats made NFL postseason history by erasing two 14-point deficits. New England has played the fifth-toughest schedule this season. The Colts have played the 23rd-toughest schedule and they are 2-4 vs. Top 10 teams and 4-5 vs. Top 16 teams. They were blown out 42-7 against Dallas on Dec. 21. Indy's secondary is banged up with its two best cornerbacks, Vontae Davis (knee) and Greg Toler (groin), missing practice leading up to this meeting.

Record: 249-191-8 (56.6%)
Bankroll: +136.82%