Play: New England -7 +105
Time: 4:35 p.m. ET
Reasoning: The Patriots are looking to advance to their fourth straight AFC championship game. New England has been the most dominant home team over the past 15 years. Its 109 home wins is 14 more than the second-most successful team. The Patriots are 12-3 at home in the playoffs over that period of time. They went 7-1 at Gillette Stadium this season, with the only loss coming two weeks ago in a meaningless contest against Buffalo. Tom Brady, who has an NFL-record 18 playoff victories, threw for 4,000 yards for the fourth straight year and finished with 33 TDs against nine INTs. New England was fourth in the league in scoring (29.3 ppg). At home the Pats outscored opponents by 16.2 ppg. Baltimore was 4-4 on the road this season before upsetting Pittsburgh (which didn't have Le'Veon Bell) last week. The last time these squads faced off (in Baltimore on 12/22/13), New England won 41-7. The Ravens played the third-easiest schedule this season and faced just one Top 10 team (and lost 20-13 to Indianapolis). The Patriots played the sixth-toughest schedule. After Baltimore's win last week, John Harbaugh proclaimed that Joe Flacco is the best QB in the NFL. But Flacco ranked 16th this season in passer rating.
Record: 241-186-8 (56.4%)
Bankroll: +121.62%
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