Monday, February 23, 2015

NBA: Monday's 10:30 p.m. ET play

Play: L.A. Clippers -4 -110

Time: 10:30 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Memphis won on Sunday night at Portland but I think that took a ton of effort. It needed 60 second-half points and trailed by 13 in the fourth quarter before rallying. Los Angeles is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last four and has averaged 115.6 ppg in its last five. It's outscoring opponents by an average of 9.4 ppg at home. The Grizzlies are below average defending the three, and the Clippers made 14 treys in their last contest, a 126-99 victory over Sacramento. L.A. has played the 11th-toughest schedule in the NBA and Memphis has played the 21st-toughest slate. DeAndre Jordan has averaged 20.8 points and 20 rebounds in his last four and J.J. Redick is averaging 19.7 points over his last three. Zach Randolph hasn’t reached 20 points in any of the seven games this month and Mike Conley is just 9-of-30 shooting over his past three. Courtney Lee had 19 points on Sunday, but he has scored six or fewer points on four of seven occasions in February. The Clippers are a better shooting team, make more free throws and turn the ball over less than the Grizzlies. Memphis also averages just 97.9 ppg in the second of back-to-backs, by far its lowest total in any rest scenario.
 
Record: 292-213-11 (57.8%)
Bankroll: +290.29%

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