NBA: Thursday's 8 p.m. ET play

Play: Golden State +4 -110

Time: 8 p.m. ET

TV: TNT

Reasoning: The line is where it is because of Cleveland's recent performance, but my power ratings say the Warriors should be favored by five points in this one. The Warriors have the NBA's best record and are 20-8 on the road. They are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. Cleveland and have won four straight in the Cavaliers' building. Golden State has won five of its last six and the lone loss during that stretch came on Sunday, a 104-98 defeat at Indiana, when it didn't have Stephen Curry (foot). Curry, who is averaging 28.1 ppg over his last 10, played on Tuesday in the 114-107 win at Washington. He totaled 32 points and eight assists against the Wizards and is averaging 26.7 points and 9.7 assists in the last three in this series. The Warriors lead the league in opponents FG percentage (.425). They beat Cleveland 112-94 on Jan. 9 when they limited the Cavs to 40.7% shooting. Curry and Klay Thompson combined to score 47 in that tilt and Golden State shot 50%. It is shooting 47.9% on the season. The Warriors are 19-7 vs. Top 16 teams and Cleveland is 14-14 vs. the Top 16. The Cavs allowed 62 first-half points to Detroit on Tuesday and they trailed by 14 in the third quarter. LeBron James is 2-of-11 from behind the arc in the last two. Cleveland also will be without Shawn Marion (hip) until early March. In addition to being the better shooting team, Golden State is better from the line, can hang with the Cavaliers on the glass, commits fewer turnovers, has the deeper bench and records more steals and blocks than Cleveland.


Record: 295-219-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +253.65%