Wednesday, February 25, 2015

NCAAB: Wednesday's 7 p.m. ET plays

Play: UConn -5 -110

Time: 7 p.m. ET

TV: ESPNU

Reasoning: I think the outcome will be similar to the first meeting between these teams. On Feb. 4 the Huskies prevailed 65-52. It would have been worse for East Carolina had they not gone 11-of-21 (52.4%) on threes. Connecticut has a big-time advantage in rebounding and it grabbed 28 boards to the Pirates' 18 in the first game. The Huskies have played a much tougher schedule and allow just 60.8 ppg on 39.8% shooting. Amida Brimah has scored 19 points in each of the last two games (13-of-14 from the field). He leads the AAC in field goal percentage (.711). Ryan Boatright leads the conference in scoring (17.5 ppg).




Play: Virginia -7.5 -110

Time: 7 p.m. ET

TV: ESPN3

Reasoning: The Cavaliers are 9-0 on the road and their only loss this season was a six-point setback to fifth-ranked Duke on Jan. 31. They hold opponents to 50.5 ppg and 35.7% shooting (third nationally). My power ratings say Virginia should be favored by 15 points in this one. Wake Forest, which is 3-7 in its last 10, allowed 88 points to Notre Dame on Saturday. Codi Miller-McIntyre leads the Demon Deacons in scoring, but he's averaging just 9.5 ppg in his last four. Anthony Gill, who scored 19 against Wake in the first meeting, is averaging 13.3 points and 8.0 rebounds in his last four. The Cavs hit 72.2% of their free throws (compared to the Deacons' 64.3%) and they also average five less turnovers.





Play: Indiana -2 -110

Time: 7 p.m. ET


TV: BTN

Reasoning: The Hoosiers destroyed Rutgers 84-54 on the road in their last one and they are 13-1 vs. teams outside the Top 50. They have shot 50 percent from the floor in 11 games. Northwestern, which is 2-8 vs. Top 50 teams, has failed to score more than 60 points in five of its last seven. The Wildcats are susceptible from the perimeter (allowing 37.1% on threes). They also make far fewer free throws than Indiana and they can't hang with the Hoosiers on the glass.





Play: VCU -1.5 -110

Time: 7 p.m. ET

TV: ESPN2

Reasoning: The Rams have won three straight since Treveon Graham's return from injury. Graham racked up 24 points and 10 rebounds on Saturday and Melvin Johnson is averaging 12.8 ppg (64 three-pointers).VCU is 8-2 on the road and has played the tougher schedule. The Rams should dominate on the glass and they record way more steals and blocks than Richmond. 



Record: 293-216-11 (57.6%)
Bankroll: +266.65% 

No comments:

Post a Comment