Play: George Washington +5 -105
Time: 4 p.m. ET
Reasoning: My power ratings say the Colonials should only be getting 2.5 points in this one. And that doesn't account for Richmond's recent loss of Alonzo Nelson-Odoba (7.0 ppg), the team's leading shot-blocker and second-leading rebounder. He is out for the rest of the season with a face fracture. GW has won four of the last five contests. The Colonials play better defense and are well above average in free-throw attempts and makes (the Spiders are below average in those categories). And GW has a laughable advantage in rebounding. The Colonials grab nearly twice as many offensive boards. A huge part of Richmond's game is three-point shooting and GW allows only 31.0% shooting from the perimeter.
Record: 290-208-10 (58.2%)
Bankroll: +329.89%
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