Wednesday, February 11, 2015

NBA: Wednesday's play

Play: San Antonio -6 -105

Time: 7:30 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Detroit won 105-104 in the first meeting of the season on Jan. 6. But take a closer look: Brandon Jennings, the man who hit the winning shot in that one with one-tenth of a second remaining, won't play in this one or for the rest of the season. He tore his Achilles nine games ago. Jennings had 13 points and seven assists in that first meeting. The Spurs led that one by as many as 18, but Kawhi Leonard (hand) didn't play and Tony Parker, who was playing in his first game back after missing five contests with a hamstring injury, only played in the first half. Also, Tim Duncan sat for all but eight seconds in the fourth quarter. Everyone on San Antonio is healthy for Wednesday's tilt, and the Spurs should have a rested Manu Ginobili because he sat out Monday's win at Indiana because it was the second game of a back-to-back. The Pistons are a poor shooting club (42.9%) and San Antonio is above average defensively. The Spurs have the advantage when shooting threes, are better at the line, have a deeper bench and they can hang with Detroit on the boards. The Pistons are 4-9 in the second game of back-to-backs and are 3-9 at home vs. the West. They also are 4-12 vs. Top 10 teams and are 10-17 overall at home. San Antonio is 20-5 vs. Bottom 16 teams.

Record: 276-204-10 (57.5%)
Bankroll: +231.45%

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