Thursday, February 26, 2015

NBA: Thursday's 10:30 p.m. ET play


Play: Phoenix +5.5 -110

Time: 10:30 p.m. ET

TV: TNT

Reasoning: Here you have another hot team in Oklahoma City, but I think its recent form has led it to be overvalued for this one. My power ratings say this should be a pick 'em, especially with Kevin Durant (foot) being out indefinitely. Phoenix easily handled Denver 110-96 on the road on Wednesday, allowing the Nuggets to shoot just 38.3%. The Suns also won the offensive rebounding battle 23-10 and they are plus-33 on the boards in their last two contests. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. the Thunder, and OKC is 11-18-1 ATS on the road. Phoenix is well above average shooting overall and it cans 9.5 threes per game. The Thunder allow more threes than most, aren't as good from the line and have the weaker bench. Suns newcomer Brandon Knight has averaged 17.3 points in the three games since coming from Milwaukee. He scored 19 against Denver and Phoneix had six players score in double figures in that tilt. OKC prevailed 137-134 in overtime in the last meeting, on Dec. 31, when Durant scored 44 for the Thunder.
 

Record: 295-219-11 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +253.65%

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