NCAAB: Tuesday's 9:30 p.m. ET play

Play: San Diego State/New Mexico over 111 -107

Time: 9:30 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The total is right where I expected it to be, given how these teams play defense. In the first meeting on Jan. 6 the total was 114 and the game went way under (98 total points). But this 111 figure still isn't a lot surmount. And I can't see the Lobos shooting under 30% from the field and the Aztecs shooting under 17% on three-pointers like they did in that first tilt. This is the lowest total New Mexico has faced all season and it's the third-lowest for SDSU. The over hit in each of the Aztecs' contests where the total was set lower. SDSU has averaged 65 ppg in its last eight games and the Lobos score 65 ppg at home. Games for both teams easily average more than 111 points overall, in the home/away splits and over each team's last five. The Aztecs also are monsters on the offensive glass (11.2 orpg).

Record: 285-205-10 (58.2%)
Bankroll: +310.24%