NCAAB: Saturday's 8:30 p.m. ET play

Play: Maryland +1 -105

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Think Jon Graham was motivated facing Penn State, his former team, on Feb. 4? The Terrapins' transfer, who averages 2.8 points, had 16 in that meeting and Maryland won 64-58. The Terps (20-5) have played a much tougher schedule than the Nittany Lions and my power ratings say Maryland should be favored in this one by 2.5 points. Penn State is 1-7 vs. Top 50 teams. It has really been hindered shooting threes since John Johnson was suspended indefinitely on Jan .12. The Terrapins have the better offense and defense, they shoot 37.2% from threes and they have a huge advantage on free throws. Maryland dominated the boards in the first meeting and the Nittany Lions have averaged just 58.0 ppg over their last five.

Record: 279-204-10 (57.8%)
Bankroll: +259.52%