Saturday, February 14, 2015

NCAAB: Saturday's 9 p.m. ET play

Play: Arkansas +2.5 -105

Time: 9 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Razorbacks scored 101 points in their last game and they average an SEC-high 80.3 ppg. But they are no slouches on defense either. They have forced 61 turnovers in their last three games and have advantages in this matchup in blocked shots and steals. In fact, its hard to find a statistical category where Arkansas doesn't either hold an edge or is at least even with the Rebels. Mississippi State shot a very uncharacteristic 56.4% from the field, 53.3% from the perimeter and 86.7% from the line in the first meeting on Jan. 17. I don't think the Rebels can duplicate that feat here, especially with the way that the Razorbacks have been playing on defense. Arkansas has allowed only 60.8 ppg, 36.0% shooting from the field and 26.7% shooting on threes in its last five contests.
 
Record: 279-204-10 (57.8%)
Bankroll: +259.52%

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