MLB: Saturday's 7 p.m. ET games

Play: Kansas City -129 (action vs. Shields)

Time: 7:15 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Royals score nearly one more run per game vs. RH and their bullpen is about a half-run better per game than that of Detroit. The Tigers will still be without All-Star DH Victor Martinez (back), who is hitting .328 with 21 homers. Eric Hosmer is healthy for Kansas City, and he has an 11-game hitting streak. He also is 5-for-16 with a homer against Rick Porcello, who has a 4.41 ERA in 16 career starts against the Royals. Porcello was hammered in his last outing, allowing seven runs on 11 hits in 5.2 IP. James Shields tossed seven scoreless innings and struck out 10 in his last start.




Play: Pittsburgh -105 (Morton vs. action)

Time: 7:15 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Pirates are 1-2 in Charlie Morton's last three starts, but it's not the pitcher's fault. Morton has a 1.35 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP in those games and has allowed two runs or fewer in eight of his last nine outings. Pittsburgh is scoring nearly a half-run more per game vs. RH and the Reds are scoring nearly one run fewer per game against RH. Pirates relievers also are about a half-run better per game than their Cincinnati counterparts.




Play: Texas +1.5 -105 (Weaver vs. Mikolas)

Time: 7:15 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Rangers would be 49-44 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. The Angels would be 43-49 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Los Angeles scores about a half-run less per game vs. RH. On the road the Angels bullpen has a 4.48 ERA. Miles Mikolas has pitched against Los Angeles twice before, in relief in 2012, and he allowed them just two hits in four innings. Jered Weaver went just two innings in his last outing before leaving the game with a back injury. Adrian Beltre has been hot (15-game hitting streak).



Record: 135-104-6 (56.5%)
Bankroll: +65.36%