MLB: Saturday's early play

Play: Toronto +1.5 -170 (Hutchison vs. Capuano)


Time: 1:05 p.m. ET


Reasoning: Toronto would be 64-40 if it was given 1.5 runs per game. New York would be 39-63 if it gave 1.5 rpg. The Blue Jays have dropped an unbelievable 17 straight at Yankee Stadium, but I like that skid to end here or for Toronto to at least keep it close. In those 17 consecutive losses in the Bronx, the Jays led in 13 of them, so it's really amazing the streak has gone on this long. Today Drew Hutchison gets the chance to break it and he is 4-4 with a 2.97 ERA on the road. Because of injuries New York is going with Chris Capuano, who was acquired on Thursday and who was released earlier this year by Boston after 28 relief appearances and after posting a 4.55 ERA. Capuano hasn't started a game in nearly a year and he has a 4.97 ERA lifetime against Toronto. The Yankees hit 19 points lower and score 0.72 less rpg vs. RH. At home New York's bullpen has a 4.10 ERA.


Record: 153-115-6 (57.1%)
Bankroll: +85.35%