MLB: Friday's 8 p.m. ET plays

Play: Colorado +1.5 -120 (Matzek vs. Lohse) and Colorado/Milwaukee under 9 -105 (Matzek vs. Lohse)

Time: 8:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Rockies would be 46-33 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. The Brewers would be 36-45 if they gave 1.5 rpg. I don't expect a lot of runs here because you have a veteran pitcher in Kyle Lohse who is having a brilliant season (3.20 ERA, 1.07 WHIP) and a rookie with tons of ability in Tyler Matzek (7 IP, 2 ER, 7 K in debut vs. Atlanta). And I like Colorado to at least keep it close since it tagged Lohse pretty well (5 IP, 3 R, 7 H) in his last start. Milwaukee is hitting 23 points lower vs. LH.




Play: Houston +1.5 -135 (Verlander vs. Peacock)

Time: 8:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Astros would be 48-32 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. The Tigers would be 30-45 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Brad Peacock has been better than Justin Verlander in 2014 and much better of late. Peacock has a 3.60 ERA over his last three starts as opposed to Verlander's 7.71 ERA. Detroit's bullpen has been atrocious this season and has a 6.89 ERA in its last five games. Houston relievers have a 3.60 ERA on the season. Peacock went 6.2 innings and allowed Detroit just four hits on May 7.



Record: 116-88-6 (56.9%)
Bankroll: +62.13%