Sunday, June 22, 2014

MLB: Sunday's Later Plays

Play: Boston/Oakland over 7.5 -102 (Lester vs. Milone)

Time: 4:05 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The A's are scoring 5.09 runs per game vs. LH, and in home games vs. southpaws that figure is 5.48. Jon Lester has a 1.47 WHIP over his last three starts. He also has a 3.91 ERA on the road vs. his 3.20 ERA overall. The Red Sox are getting on base, but they just aren't cashing in for runs. They are 2-for-19 with runners in scoring position in this series. That will eventually revert to normal. And it should start today against Tommy Milone, who Boston ripped on May 3 for six runs in four innings (including three homers).


Plays: Colorado +1.5 -140 (Lohse vs. Matzek) and Mil/Col under 10.5 +105 (Lohse vs. Matzek)

Time: 4:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: This should be a low-scoring affair (relatively speaking for Coors Field), with Colorado keeping it close if not winning outright. The Brewers would be 34-42 in they gave 1.5 runs per game. The Rockies would be 44-30 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Kyle Lohse has a 3.09 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP on the season. He is 5-1 with a 3.75 ERA in nine road outings. He has a 3.76 ERA in 11 career starts against Colorado. Tyler Matzek will go for the Rockies and he will face a Milwaukee team that hits 29 points lower against LH. In the last 10 games the Brewers are hitting .189 vs. southpaws. Matzek also might not have to face Aramis Ramirez (back) today. And with a thunderstorm possible today, there could be wind gusts of up to 17 mph in from center field and right field.

 

Record: 109-80-6 (57.7%)

Bankroll: +74.15%

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