Play: Colorado +1.5 -135 (Teheran vs. Matzek)
Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Atlanta would be 21-42 if it gave 1.5 runs per game and the Rockies would be 39-25 if they were given 1.5 rpg. Colorado is hitting .324 and scoring 7.40 rpg vs. RH at home. Rockies pitcher Tyler Matzek will make his major-league debut, and he pitched well at Colorado Springs (5-4, 4.05 ERA). Braves OF Justin Upton (hamstring) will play, but how effective will he be? Atlanta's bullpen has a 3.97 ERA on the road, a 4.23 ERA in its last 10 games and a 4.91 ERA in its last five games. Troy Tulowitzki, who is hitting .349, has gone hitless in the first two games of the series. I say he gets at least one tonight and I'm betting it will come when it counts.
Record: 99-69-5 (58.9%)
Bankroll: +87.7%
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