Saturday, June 21, 2014

MLB: Saturday's Earlier Plays

Play: Boston/Oakland over 7.5 -120 (De La Rosa vs. Chavez)

Time: 4:05 p.m. ET

Reasoning: These teams combine to average 8.98 runs when they face RH. Games for umpire Quinn Wolcott have averaged 8.75 runs this season after averaging 9.00 last season. Games at O.co Coliseum have averaged 8.59 runs. Both starters have registered high WHIPs over their last three games. Rubby De La Rosa is only in there because of an injury to Clay Buchholz. On the road he is 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA. The A's are hitting .353 and are scoring 6.82 rpg vs. RH in their last five contests. Oakland's bullpen has a 4.29 ERA in its last 10 games.


Play: Colorado +1.5 -135 (Peralta vs. Friedrich)

Time: 4:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Rockies would be 44-29 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. The Brewers would be 33-42 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Colorado banged out 16 hits last night. Rockies SS Troy Tulowitzki is hitting .487 at home. Milwaukee is hitting 31 points lower and is scoring a third of a run less per game vs. LH. Colorado is scoring 5.33 rpg vs. RH. The Rockies are hitting .328 and are scoring 7.72 rpg vs. RH. And in his only start at Colorado (last July), Wily Peralta allowed eight runs in 3.2 IP.



Play: N.Y. Mets/Miami over 7.5 +105 (deGrom vs. Koehler)

Time: 4:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Mets road games average 8.71 runs while Marlins home games average 8.61 runs. Games umpired by Ron Kulpa have averaged 8.43 runs. Both of these starters would be good if their recent WHIPs were actually their ERAs, but they aren't. Jacob deGrom has a 2.13 WHIP and a 7.80 ERA in his last three starts and Tom Koehler has a 1.41 WHIP and a 6.61 ERA over the same time period. Casey McGehee has hit safely in 14 of 15 games and David Wright owns a five-game hitting streak and a four-game RBI streak. Marlins CF Jake Marisnick is 6-for-19 with four stolen bases since being promoted from Triple-A New Orleans.


Play: Detroit/Cleveland under 8.5 -106 (Verlander vs. Bauer)

Time: 7:15 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Justin Verlander has lost his last three starts, but he is still Justin Verlander. He is capable at spinning shutouts. And he might be catching the Indians at the right time, as they are hitting just .228 and scoring 2.94 runs per game in the last 10 vs. RH. The Tigers have averaged just 3.21 runs in their last five against RH. And four of Trevor Bauer's seven starts have been quality ones.

Record: 108-76-6 (58.7%)
Bankroll: +92.65% 

No comments:

Post a Comment