MLB: Thursday's Det/Tex

Plays: Texas +1.5 -135 (Porcello vs. Martinez) and under 10 -110 (Porcello vs. Martinez)

Time: 8:05 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Rick Porcello has been battered in his career by the Rangers. In seven games he has a 7.41 ERA against them and Texas is hitting .377. So I like the Rangers to score enough to win or keep it close, but they still have averaged less than three runs per game over their last five. Texas starter Nick Martinez allowed just two runs over seven innings his last time out. And last month he limited the Tigers to one run over six innings. Each of these bullpens is remarkably better in the home/away splits than they are overall. And the umpire will be Clint Fagan, and his games have averaged 5.81 runs this season. It would probably be safe to call him an "under ump," because during his career the under is 24-11.



Record: 115-86-6 (57.2%)
Bankroll: +67.62%