MLB: Saturday's 4 p.m. ET Plays

Play: Minnesota +1.5 -140 (Hughes vs. Darvish)

Time: 4:05 p.m. ET

 Reasoning: The Twins would be 50-28 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. The Rangers would be 23-56 if they gave 1.5 rpg. The Rangers barely broke an eight-game losing streak yesterday after their closer, Joakim Soria, gave up four runs in the ninth inning. Phil Hughes (3.40 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) was touched up and went just five innings in his last start, but he went at least six innings in his previous 11 outings. Yu Darvish has a 1.55 WHIP in his last three starts and he's lost his last two after allowing 12 runs in 11 innings. Minnesota scores a half-run more per game vs. RH and Texas scores 1.78 fewer rpg vs. RH.




Play: N.Y. Mets/Pittsburgh over 7.5 +100 (Niese vs. Cole)

Time: 4:05 p.m.

Reasoning: How long will Gerrit Cole go today and how effective will he be after coming off the DL with shoulder fatigue? In his only start vs. New York (last year) he allowed three runs in five innings. Games at PNC Park average 8.63 runs and Mets road games average 8.64 runs. Games called by umpire Toby Basner have averaged 10.44 runs this season and 10.20 last season. Andrew McCutcheon has a seven-game hitting streak and Lucas Duda has eight RBIs in his last five games.

Play: Tampa Bay/Baltimore over 8.5 +101 (Bedard vs. Chen)

Time: 4:05 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Nelson Cruz has four homers and nine RBIs in his last nine games. He'll face Erik Bedard who has a 6.30 ERA in seven lifetime starts against the Orioles. In the last 10 games against LH, the Rays are hitting 28 points higher and Baltimore is hitting 44 points higher. Both bullpens are shaky and Tampa Bay's reliever are awful (4.32 ERA) on the road.




Play: Houston +1.5 -120 (Scherzer vs. Oberholtzer)

Time: 4:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Astros would be 49-32 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. The Tigers would be 30-46 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Detroit is scoring a half-run less per game vs. LH. Brett Oberholtzer has been solid in his last three starts (3.32 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) while Max Scherzer has not. Scherzer, who this year turned down a huge contract offer, is not having a great season. And in his last three starts he has a 5.21 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Jose Altuve is hitting .342.




Record: 120-89-6 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +75.48%