Plays: Toronto +101 (Buehrle vs. action) and Toronto/N.Y. Yankees over 8.5 -120 (Buehrle vs. Whitley)
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: I think facing a young pitcher like Chase Whitley is all the Blue Jays will need to reassert their offensive dominance. Whitley has yet to experience much adversity in his six starts, and, until very recently, Toronto was blowing teams away. As a team it still leads the majors in homers 93 (it has six more than Colorado and 11 more than Oakland). Jays LF Melky Cabrera has a 17-game hitting streak against the Yankees and Jose Reyes has hit safely in 16 of his last 17 games overall. Toronto starter Mark Buehrle has dominated this season, and I expect his side to win on Wednesday, but he won't be shutting out the Bombers. Buehrle is 1-10 with a 6.02 ERA in 16 career starts against New York. And he appears to have come back to earth after giving up four runs in 6.1 IP vs. Baltimore in his last outing. Blue Jays games average 8.79 runs. Games at Yankee Stadium have averaged 8.5 runs. Toronto hits 14 points higher against RH and New York hits 18 points higher and scores one run more per game vs. LH. Neither of these bullpens brings much relief, as Jays relievers have a 4.37 ERA and the Yankees relievers have a 4.05 figure. Those numbers are even worse (4.64 ERA and 4.88 ERA, respectively) in the home/away splits.
Record: 106-74-6 (58.9%)
Bankroll: +94.06%
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