MLB: Sunday's Play

Play: Toronto/Baltimore over 9 -120 (Happ vs. Tillman)

Time: 1:35 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Mr. Inconsistency (Chris Tillman) will be on the bump for the Orioles on Sunday afternoon. I faded him two starts ago when he gave up five earned runs before his team recorded four outs at Texas. He has a 4.91 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP in 2014 and a 4.61 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP in his last three starts. Tillman has a 4.61 ERA in two starts this season vs. the Blue Jays. For Toronto, J.A. Happ will take his turn in the rotation. He's been even worse, recording a 6.11 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP in his last three starts. For the season Happ has a 4.37 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP. The bullpens for these teams offer little reprieve. Baltimore relievers have a 4.44 ERA overall and a 4.83 ERA on the road. O's relievers have a 3.64 ERA overall and a 3.78 mark at home. Both of these lineups are chock-full of dangerous hitters. And how long will Nelson Cruz (0 HR in 11 games), Jose Bautista (0 HR in 8 games) and Edwin Encarnacion (1 HR in 11 games) stay silent? Baltimore's Manny Machado has five hits in the last two games and Adam Jones and Nick Markakis have combined to go 9-for-20 lifetime vs. Happ. The Orioles are hitting .316 and scoring 6.23 runs per game vs. LH over their last five contests. The Jays are hitting 118 points higher against RH in their last 10 games. Also notable: given Sunday's start time you won't have to worry about the shadows that plagued hitters during Saturday's game, which had a 4:05 first pitch.



Record: 104-73-6 (58.8%)
Bankroll: +89.97%