MLB: Tuesday's 8:05 p.m. ET plays

Play: Chi. Cubs -108 (action vs. Arrieta)

Time: 8:05 p.m. ET

Reasoning: Jake Arrieta is on fire. He is 2-0 with a 0.73 ERA in four starts this month with 29 strikeouts and just five walks. And Cincinnati has never seen him. Homer Bailey has a 4.68 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP this season, and he has a 4.16 ERA in 14 career starts against the Cubs. Chicago's bullpen is about one run better overall than that of the Reds, whose relievers have a 6.18 ERA in their last 10 games and a 6.75 ERA in their last five. Anthony Rizzo, who blasted his 16th homer yesterday, is hitting .312 with six homers, six doubles and 15 RBI this month. Brandon Phillips, who missed yesterday's contest with a bruised heel, is questionable for this one.




Play: Texas +1.5 -160 (Smyly vs. Lewis)

Time: 8:05 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The Rangers would be 44-31 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. The Tigers would be 27-45 if they gave 1.5 rpg. Texas has won five of the last six vs. Detroit at Arlington. The Rangers are hitting 24 points higher and scoring 1.98 more rpg vs. LH. In the last five games Texas' bullpen has a 2.70 ERA. And the Tigers relievers? They have a 5.34 ERA in their last 10 and a 6.23 ERA in their last five. Detroit CF Austin Jackson is hitting .168 in 33 games away from Comerica Park.




Record: 112-82-6 (57.7%)
Bankroll: +75.82%