Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Jason Hammel is having a remarkable year (6-3, 2.53 ERA) and he has beaten the Pirates twice so far this season. He hasn't allowed a run over his last two starts. Pittsburgh players are a combined 15-for-80 (.187 BA) against him. Brandon Cumpton seems to like PNC Park. He has a 3.00 ERA in six games there. The Cubs have never seen him. Both of these bullpens are good overall and in the home/away splits.
Play: N.Y. Mets +114 (action vs. deGrom)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: Rookie Jacob deGrom appears to be the real deal. And I like the Mets to get him some run support for his first career victory. deGrom has a 1.16 WHIP and a .194 BAA. New York scored six runs on Tuesday night and I expect more of the same against Wily Peralta. He has a 5.94 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in his last three starts. The Mets have been really unlucky this season. They have lost 21 games after holding the lead. Based on their Runs Scored and Runs Allowed, their Expected Won-Loss Record is 32-32. Their bullpen is equal to that of the Brewers.
Plays: St. Louis -127 (Wacha vs. action) and STL/TB over 7 +102 (Wacha vs. Bedard)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Reasoning: I like both clubs to scratch out a few runs and for the Cardinals to plate at least one more than the Rays. I'm picking tonight to be the night for Tampa Bay to break out of its scoring slump. Games at Tropicana Field average 8.3 runs. The Rays have struggled to score runs because they are 5-for-75 with RISP over their last 10 games. Sooner or later that will turn around. Both of these bullpens are shaky and Erik Bedard has a 5.60 ERA in five career starts against St. Louis.
Record: 99-69-5 (58.9%)
Bankroll: +87.7%
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