Sunday, June 22, 2014

MLB: Sunday's early play

Play: Chi. White Sox +1.5 -150 (Danks vs. Hughes)

Time: 2:10 p.m. ET

Reasoning: The White Sox would be 45-30 if they were given 1.5 runs per game. Minnesota would be 26-49 if it gave 1.5 rpg. I like John Danks to prevent a sweep here or at least keep it close. He has allowed two or fewer runs in each of his last five starts and has a 1.74 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in his last three. The Twins score exactly one less run per game vs. LH. Chicago hits 14 points higher and scores nearly a half-run more per game vs. RH. On April 3 Phil Hughes was battered by the Sox for four runs on seven hits in five innings. Chicago's bullpen is better on the road (3.31 ERA) than it is overall (3.78), and Minnesota's relievers are worse at home (3.94 ERA) than they are overall (3.67). Twins closer Glen Perkins blew the save on Friday and was shaky in last night's game.


Record: 109-80-6 (57.7%)

Bankroll: +74.15%

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