MLB: Saturday's late play

Play: San Francisco -115 (Simon vs. Cain)

Time: 10:05 p.m. ET

Reasoning: I like the value here with Matt Cain going at home. Although he's struggled this season it's not like he's forgotten how to pitch. He has a 3.54 ERA in 10 lifetime starts against the Reds. Part of Cain's problem has been the fact that the Giants haven't given him run support. They have scored two runs or fewer in seven of his 12 starts. Cincinnati scores nearly a half-run less per game vs. RH. The Reds also have a huge disadvantage in the bullpen (4.15 ERA) when compared to that of San Francisco (2.70 ERA). Buster Posey is hitting .364 in June.



Record: 120-89-6 (57.4%)
Bankroll: +75.48%